|
The Western coalition’s ‘war of independence of Iraq’ is going nowhere.
It is now amply clear that President Bush’s administration would like to keep the war going until his term expires in 2008 so as to avoid the blame for a defeat. And the Democrats too are loathe to demand a withdrawal because that would lend the Republicans a handle against them in the year of Presidential elections which they seem to be currently winning. So Iraq has to remain occupied, vandalized, and burn till the ‘civilized’ Americans choose a new incumbent for the White House.
More than two-thirds of the British troops have already gone home. Of the other multinational forces, barely 6,000 remain in Iraq. Their numbers are bound to dwindle. Of course, the American casualties i.e., 66 men in August, were the least. But that could be achieved mainly with the help of creation of Israeli style ‘Green zones’ and by raising walls around sensitive areas. Civilians, including women and children, continue to die at the hands of the US armed forces and irregulars and mercenaries a la ‘Blackwater’. Yet the report of General David Petreaus, commander of the US forces in Iraq, paints a rosy picture reporting progress in all sectors.
Most of US successes listed by Petreaus are illusory and self-deluding. Guerilla wars are not fought for territory, but for hearts of the people. This important lesson from the Vietnam War has been forgotten by the Pentagon. The US is nowhere close to impressing the Iraqis. Nour Al-Maliki regime hardly fits the bill for a sovereign administration. Coalition nullifies his authority at the drop of a hat. An occupied territory with the occupier lending all the encouragement to divisive forces, could hardly be expected to exercise sovereignty. The country has turned into decrepit and dangerous territory, riven by ethnic and religious tension. The American invasion has destroyed the fragile equilibrium between Sunnis, Shias and Kurds which the Saddam Hussein’s regime had been successful in building and holding for decades. Americans may keep up the pretence of winning the war in Iraq. But the reality is that it has seriously destabilized a country that was in the process of welding into a nation. Neo-cons who hurled the US Administration into a misadventure in the pursuit of protecting its stooge i.e., Israel, have been proved wrong. They never took into account the complex dynamics of history, geography, ethnicity. American entry into Iraq was by its own volition, but exit would not be so. Cost of descent of Iraq into violent sectarianism will have to be borne by the entire region. One wonders if regional players other than Iran are looking into post-American future of Iraq.
|
|