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June 2006
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Poll Watch

Bread and Butter took Precedence
Trivandrum
By A Staff Writer


Kerala Assembly Poll


The Kerala verdict serves as an index of how mature voters are in the state.

Analysis of the 2006 Assembly elections results makes it evident that the Muslim votes in Kerala in general were cast in favour of Left Democratic Front (LDF). The previous United Democratic Front (UDF) Government’s refusal to fulfil its promise of implementing the recommendations of the Justice Narendra Commission polarized the Muslim and underprivileged Christians in favour of LDF this time. Though change in Kerala could be conveniently explained as cyclical shift of power between the two poles, the difference becomes plain with the significant defeat of Muslim League in its bastion of northern Malabar districts. The League was reduced to seven seats from its previous nine.


Former chief minister A. K. Antony has accused the LDF of ‘securing the support of communal parties such as Jamaat Islami, PDP of Nasser Mahadani and Saqafathus Sunniya’. It will be taken with a pinch of salt. His statement ignores the fact that Kerala is a tight federation of all kinds of communalisms and casteism. Kerala Congress is representative of Christians and several of its factions are divided between the two fronts. Ezhava support forms the main base of the Marxists. And above all Muslim League has been there with the Congress and the party has always been branded a communal party.


Justice Narendra Commiss-ion had recommended filling up 18,000 vacancies in the Government jobs on the basis of quota fixed decades ago for various communities. The Commission was set up by former LDF chief minister P. K. Nayanar and the UDF government which succeeded his tenure in 2001, had promised to implement this recommendation in its 2001 Assembly poll manifesto. But once into the saddle of power, Antony and Oommen Chandy governments went back on this promise. In fact, Muslim League often scoffed at the promise.


Muslims, clearly the underdogs in the State on the socio-economic scale, were guided by bread and butter question. With agriculture shrinking in Kerala, industrial growth next to nil, and growth in Gulf jobs uncertain, they look up to the state government to give them their due. Of all communities, Muslims are the most backward in the state in terms of empowerment. Such is the low attainment in education, that they are often unable to claim their 12 per cent quota in jobs.


The Kerala as also the West Bengal verdict also serves as an index of how mature are voters in these two states. They have learnt to differentiate between the US-leaned United Progressive Alliance (UPA) government at the Centre and the realities at their own base level. The UDF earned the displeasure of the people of Kerala also because of its unabashed pursuit of capitalist policies. The exploitation of river water in the Plachimada panchayat by the Coke factory (which is currently closed due to popular protest) drew fire of the people. US threat to Iran also played a part. The LDF used the UPA Government’s nuclear deal and the siding with the US on Iran’s nuclear ambitions to the hilt. Muslim opinion was clearly with the Left on the key issue. These issues got combined with the Ezhava community’s solidarity with the LDF. Ezhavas were looking for their own man, V. S. Achutanandan, occupying the throne of the chief ministership. Moreover, the voters saw former CM Karunakaran’s alliance with the UDF an opportunistic one. His son Muralidharan was handed a defeat in Koduvally, a Muslim dominated seat. Among the League’s stalwarts who were defeated are E. T. Mohammad Basheer and Kunjali Kutti who got stigmatized with the sex scandal.


Among the Muslim MLAs is a Muslim woman Ms. S. K. Sulaikha who has won on Srikrishnapuram seat on CPM ticket. An SC candidate U. C. Raman has won with Muslim League support in Kunjamangalam. The Indian National League’s general secretary P M A Salam has also entered the Assembly. The INL claims two more of its supported candidates winning from Kuttipuram and Koduvally.

AUDF Wins 10 Seats
By A Staff Writer
Guwahati


Assam

The new Assam Assembly elected on May 11, has 24 Muslim MLAs. The loss of majority for the Congress in the Assembly is mainly attributed to Muslims en masse shifting their allegiance away from Congress, The new party of the minorities, Assam United Democratic Front (AUDF) bagged ten seats and garnered over 9.5 per cent of the popular votes. It considerably cut the base of the Congress in the State. Congress which has formed the Government, has also nine Muslim MLAs. The AGP has three. However, in a house of 124 members, the Muslims are drastically under represented as Muslims constitute 38 per cent of the state’s population.


The AUDF put up 74 candidates but only 10 could make it to the winning post. These include a tribal Dr. Adita Lankashar and an Assamese, Gohain Das. According to Mr. A. U. Choudhury, general secretary of the AUDF, the party candidates were placed second in 17 other constituencies, some losing with a margin of less than 100 votes. President of the Party, Maulana Badruddin Ajmal has won from two segments.


The party was formed only three months ago due to widespread resentment among minorities against previous regime’s refusal to issue ID cards to citizens belonging to minority communities. Mr. Choudhury told Islamic Voice that the party would sit in opposition and would urge the new Government of Assam to implement assurances given to minorities against harassment.


However, it will be a challenge for the AUDF to keep itself intact. Being the representatives of underdogs, it will be under severe pressure and inducements of big fishes of the Assam politics. Even during 80s, the Bengali Hindus and Muslims had formed United Minority Front (UMF) which did not survive in one piece even for one term of the Assembly.


Constituency - Name of the MLA - Party
---------------------------------------------------------

Karimganj South - Siddiqque Ahamed - Ind.

Badarpur - Anvarul Haq - AUDF

Hailkhandi - Haji Sali Uddin Barbhuiya - AUDF

Sonai - Kutub Ahmed Mazumder - INC

Katigorah - Ataur Rahman Mazarbhuiya - AUDF

Hajo - Nurul Hassan - AGP

Naharighat - Nazrul Islam - INC

Jamunamukh - Badruddin Ajmal - AUDF

Mancachar - Dr. Motiur RahmanMontel - Ind.

Salmara South - Badruddin Ajman - AUDF

Bhubri - Rasul Haque - AUDF

Golokganj - Abu Taher Bepari - INC

Bilasipara West - Hafiz Bashir Ahmed - AUDF

Abhaypuyri North - Abdulhai Nagori - INC

Goalpara West - Abdul Rashid Mandal - INC

Jaleswar - Afzalur Rahman - LKS

Jania - Abdul Khaleque - INC

Baghbar - Dildar Reza - INC

Chenga - Liakat Ali Khan - AGP

Dalgaon - Iliaz Ali - IND

Biswanath - Nurjamal Sarkar - INC

Dhing - Mubaraq Ali Pathan - AUDF

Rupohihat - Abdul Aziz - AGP

Samagiri - Rockybul Hassan - INC

26 Muslim MLAs in New Kerala Assembly
Trivandrum


The new 140-member Kerala Assembly has 26 Muslim MLAs. Due to the drastic reduction in the number of Muslim League members, the Communist Part of India (Marxist) has sent the largest number of members to the house. The previous house had 25 members. The new Muslim MLAs in Kerala are:

Constituency - MLA - Party
--------------------------------------

Kazhakuttam - M. A. Wahid - Congress

Varkala - Varkala Kahar - Congress

Irvipuram - A. A. Asif - RSP

Arur - A. M. Arif - CPM

Mattancherry - B. K. Ibrahim Kunhi - IUML

Aluva - A. M. Yusuf - CPM

Vadakkancherry - A. C. Moideen - CPM

Guruvayur - K. V. Abdul Kader - CPM

Pattambhi - C. P. Muhammad - Congress

Ottapalem - M. Hamza - CPM

Srikrishnapuram - Ms. S. K. Sulaikha - CPM

Nilambur - Aryadan Muhammad - Congress

Manjeri - P. K. Abdur Rab - IUML

Ponnani - Paloli Mohd Kutti - CPM

Malappuram - M. Oomer - IUML

Kondotty - K. Mohd Ani Haji - IUML

Tirurangady - K.Kutti Ahmed Kutti - IUML

Thanur - A.Rahman Randathani - IUML

Tirur - P.P. Abdullah Kutti - CPM

Kuttipuram - Dr. K. T. Jaleel - Ind. (supported by CPM)

Mankada - Manjalam Kodi Ali - Ind. (supported by INL)

Koduvally - P. T. A. Raheem - Ind. (supported by CPM)

Perambra - K. Kunhammed - CPM

Calicut-2 - P. M. A. Salam - INL

Beypore - Palamaram Kareem - CPM

Kasargode - C. T. Ahmed Ali - IUML

Six Muslim MLAs in TN Assembly
Chennai



Only six Muslims could find berth in the new Tamil Nadu Assembly. Of these four represent DMK party while one comes from Indian National League and yet another has won on AIADMK ticket.


Mr. S. N. M. Ubaidullah and Mohiuddin Khan have been elected on DMK ticket from Thanjavur and Palayamkottai. Abdul Basith and Khaleelur Rahman Sait represent Vaniyambadi and Aravakurichi seats. They are Muslim League representatives, but have been elected on the DMK symbol, hence officially counted among the DMK component.


Hassan Ali won on the Indian National League ticket from Ramnad. The INL is part of the AIADMK led front. Advocate Ms. Bader Sayeed has won from Triplicane in Chennai on AIADMK ticket. She was chairman of the Tamil Nadu Wakf Board.