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During all my previous visits, I used to question if the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia would be able to resist fast paced changes occurring all around. This time I have returned convinced that it is succumbing to them. The rulers have begun to initiate reforms in governance, administration and economy. Emergence of a vast educated class has begun to assert itself. Women are becoming vocal against repressive conventions and media does not fight shy of devoting space for some of the voices. The tendency to reject the discordant voices by the powers that be is now much weaker.
King Abdullah bin Abdulaziz has proved himself to be more progressive than he was thought. Last fortnight, he announced that future monarchs would be appointed by a committee of six members within the ruling family. However, the rule would come into force after him, and his immediate brother Sultan have completed their terms. How far or close would that moment be is difficult to tell in context to the Kingdom. Abdullah’s predecessor, Fahd ruled for nearly 23 years, around half of which was in a state when he was not in total possession of his senses. But King Abdullah’s announcement has stirred a hornet’s nest within the ruling family where long line of 32 surviving sons-of the 40 sired by-the founding father late King Abdulaziz has been waiting to claim the throne. King Abdullah is fifth in line, i.e., after Saud, Faisal, Khaled and Fahd. Meanwhile, the size of the ruling family is snowballing. A knowledgeable source told me that speculations about the size of the ruling family varies wildly between 5,000 and 10,000 members. Multiple wives and a large number of kids amply contribute to the trend. The King has sons ranging in age between 55 and six. So also each one in the ruling family. Besides, there is generally no mention of the princesses. They must be equally numerous going by the healthy national gender ratio of 50.8 males to 48.2 females. Since the ruling family is firmly in control of the national resources, all big businesses, industries and estates have some prince sitting at their apex.
I was told the Internet, television channels and mobiles are major catalysts of change in the Saudi society. Awakening among women is attributed to it. Though not all changes are healthy. If mannequins in the shopping malls are any indication, Western dressing mores are catching up fast among women. Filtering of the soft culture is ineffective as Internet and TV programmes can be downloaded direct from the skies. And princes are more eager to violate the laws than commoners. An observer of the situation informed me that nearly 7,000 Saudi websites have been hoisted. Some of the websites and e-mail blogs highlight the opulent lifestyles of the members of the ruling family. Arrogance is inherent to the Saudi culture. It is seen in action against the hapless Asian immigrants dependant on Saudi jobs. But when it comes to the West, the Saudis are pusillanimous. An Australian nurse who murdered her colleague, had to be freed under Western pressure. A Saudi scribe told me as to how the arrogance manifests itself on roads where youth zip fast at speeds ranging from 200 to 220 mph. Saudi Arabia has the dubious distinction of highest rate of fatal accidents in the world, he pointed out.
But there are also silver linings. Democratic process has begun from the civic bodies. Now 16 regional civic bodies have 50 per cent elected members with other half being nominated by the ruling family. Women have also been nominated, though they still await voting rights. They are gaining positions in chambers of commerce, National Human Rights Council and academic bodies. More women are writing columns in newspapers. Deans and Academic Councils in universities would be elected from next year. Channels other than Saudi Television where Saudi capital has been invested, are now shown in the Kingdom. Businessman Abdul Latif Jameel has begun a micro credit programme for the smaller entrepreneurs inspired by the success of Mohammad Yunus. More of such changes would be welcome.
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